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Uganda’s Election Puts Markets on Alert as Finance Sector Eyes Policy Shifts
Uganda is on the cusp of a major economic turning point. After years of courting short-term speculative capital – the so-called “hot money” flowing into high-yield local debt – the East African nation expects to begin producing oil in 2026, unlocking long-term foreign direct investment (FDI) and export revenues. Officials and analysts say this oil boom could strengthen Uganda’s balance of payments and reduce reliance on fickle capital flows, but they caution that the transiti
Jan 159 min read


Uganda’s Election Week Puts Markets on Alert: Financial Industry Eyes Policy and Stability
As Uganda heads into a pivotal national election this week, the country’s financial industry is on high alert. Bankers, investors, and analysts are closely watching for any signals of change in economic policy, fiscal discipline, debt management, monetary continuity, and regulatory stability emerging from the vote. The presidential and parliamentary polls – slated around January 15, 2026 – pit 81-year-old incumbent President Yoweri Museveni against several challengers, inclu
Jan 136 min read


Frontier on Fire: Is Uganda’s 18% Bond Market a Gift or a Time Bomb?
Uganda has suddenly become the place where yield-hungry investors go to “squeeze the last drop” out of frontier markets. Offshore holdings of Uganda’s shilling government bonds have surged to around $2.7 billion , about 12% of total domestic government debt – a record high, driven largely by global funds rotating back into high-yield local currency paper. At the same time, the government has pushed out the curve with a 25-year bond , which in its latest auction cleared at a
Dec 9, 20255 min read


When “home bias” becomes “home risk”
Most investors start at home. It’s familiar: you understand the banks on your high street, the telco you use every day, the government securities your adviser talks about. In many African markets, those local instruments also offer attractive nominal yields. But the last decade has shown how fragile that comfort can be: Currency shocks can wipe out years of returns when measured in hard currency. Inflation spikes can quietly erode the real value of cash, deposits and even s
Dec 3, 20254 min read


Frontier on Fire: Hot Money Pours Into Uganda’s Local Debt
When global investors start talking about “squeezing the last drop out of the lemon,” they’re talking about places like Uganda. In late November, Uganda’s shilling government bond market has quietly become one of the hottest frontier trades in the world. More than $2 billion of Uganda’s domestic government bonds are now held offshore – a record – with S&P Global estimating non-resident holdings at roughly $2.7 billion, about 12% of total domestic government debt . For a coun
Dec 1, 20255 min read


Uganda’s Silent Giant: Pension Funds Step Onto Centre Stage
When pension executives, regulators and investors gathered in Kampala this month for the All-Africa Pensions Summit, the talking point was not another foreign aid package or a new donor facility. It was Africa’s own money – more than US$1.3 trillion in combined pension and sovereign wealth fund assets – and how much of it is still sitting in short-term instruments instead of building roads, power plants and hospitals. For Uganda, the host country, the moment felt symbolic. I
Nov 24, 20254 min read


Uganda Opens the Taps on Grassroots Finance as Debt Warnings Grow
The money arrived first as a text message. In a parish on the edge of eastern Uganda, the chair of a small savings and credit cooperative opened her phone on Wednesday morning to see a balance she had never imagined: 50 million shillings – roughly US$13,700 – wired straight into the group’s new account. It was the first tangible sign that Kampala’s latest push to attack poverty from the bottom up is finally hitting the ground. This week, the Ministry of Finance confirmed it h
Nov 21, 20254 min read


Africa at a Financial Inflection: Macro Outlook for Sub-Saharan Growth
In October 2025, the International Monetary Fund upgraded its growth forecast for sub-Saharan Africa to 4.1 percent , reflecting modest optimism amid persistent headwinds. That figure underscores a region balancing between promising reform momentum and foundational structural risks. Key pressures loom large: rising debt service costs, tightening external financing, inflation pressures, and weak fiscal buffers. During the IMF’s African Department press briefing, Director Abebe
Oct 19, 20258 min read


Zimbabwe Lifts Growth Forecast: Gold and Tobacco Power a Fragile Recovery
For years, Zimbabwe’s economic headlines have been dominated by currency crises, droughts, and energy shortages. But this month brought a...
Sep 24, 20252 min read


Uganda’s Debt Surges 26%: Why Domestic Borrowing Is Raising Alarms
Uganda’s latest fiscal numbers paint a stark picture. In the past year, the country’s public debt has jumped by 26.2% , climbing from...
Sep 24, 20252 min read


Uganda Seeks $400 Million for Growth: Agriculture and Transport at the Core
Uganda is making a strategic move. The government has confirmed it is in talks with development financiers to secure $400 million in...
Sep 9, 20252 min read


Uganda’s €3 Billion Railway Bet: Can Debt-Financed Infrastructure Deliver Growth?
Uganda has just taken a bold step that could reshape its economic future. Earlier this week, officials confirmed that the country is in ...
Aug 21, 20253 min read


Looking Forward to My First Visit to Kampala with Veri Platform
Excited to Begin Building Relationships in Uganda with Veri Platform In just a few days, I’ll be visiting Uganda for the very first...
Aug 21, 20252 min read


MTN Uganda to Spin Off Fintech Unit—And It Could Reshape Africa’s Public Markets
MTN Uganda has just confirmed plans to spin off its fintech and mobile money division into a standalone company , with the goal of...
Jul 31, 20253 min read

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