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Kenya’s Stock Market Stages a Comeback: NSE Capitalization Soars Amid Bond-to-Equity Shift

  • Writer: Derry Thornalley
    Derry Thornalley
  • 12 minutes ago
  • 2 min read

Can you feel the energy on the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE)? Over the past year, we've witnessed a remarkable transformation in Kenya’s capital markets. The NSE’s market capitalization has surged to KSh 2.62 trillion, adding roughly KSh 1 trillion to its value—a level we haven't seen in three years.


This isn’t just a market rebound—it’s a statement of renewed investor confidence.


What’s Driving the Rally?

The single biggest catalyst? Falling treasury yields. With the Central Bank of Kenya slashing its interest rate by 25 basis points, returns on T-bills have halved—from around 16–17% to approximately 8–9%, and even treasury bonds have dropped from 18% to about 14%.


As returns on bonds fell, institutional and foreign investors began rotating en masse back into equities—where returns looked far more attractive.

Narobi City

Blue-Chip Titans Leading the Charge

The winners are familiar household names. Safaricom’s market value alone jumped by KSh 486.8 billion, lifting its valuation to KSh 1.08 trillion. Equity Group and KCB added KSh 55.7 billion and KSh 79.2 billion respectively, while names like EABL, Absa, NCBA, and KenGen also recorded substantial gains. This top-heavy rally shows that Kenya’s largest cap stocks are once again center

stage.


What It All Means

Here’s how I see it:

  • This is more than just numbers climbing on a screen: This rally speaks to improved business performance, lower borrowing costs, and real belief that Kenya’s growth story still has legs.

  • Banks matter: Their consistent earnings—and notably strong half-year results from KCB and Equity—are validating and reinforcing investor sentiment.

  • Shifting investor psychology: In a broader sense, the market is signaling that equities are once again a preferred place to park capital—especially amid global volatility and domestic cost-of-borrowing pressures.


In a Nutshell

Kenya’s capital markets are experiencing a genuine renaissance—not a speculative flash in the pan. And as investors continue to reprice risk and growth expectations, equities have emerged as the go-to asset class in a rapidly evolving financial ecosystem.


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